Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000104 0.000110 0.000117 0.000124 0.000132 0.000141 0.000151
2024-12-22 0.000095 0.000103 0.000113 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000171
2024-12-29 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000126 0.000144 0.000165 0.000193
2025-01-05 0.000084 0.000094 0.000107 0.000123 0.000144 0.000169 0.000205
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000089 0.000102 0.000119 0.000141 0.000169 0.000210
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000138 0.000169 0.000216
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000079 0.000092 0.000110 0.000133 0.000166 0.000215
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000078 0.000092 0.000111 0.000137 0.000173 0.000231
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000078 0.000092 0.000113 0.000142 0.000183 0.000253
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000147 0.000194 0.000278
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000079 0.000096 0.000121 0.000158 0.000216 0.000324
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000117 0.000154 0.000213 0.000326
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000115 0.000154 0.000216 0.000340
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089 0.000115 0.000156 0.000225 0.000369
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000117 0.000162 0.000240 0.000416
2025-03-30 0.000056 0.000069 0.000087 0.000114 0.000160 0.000241 0.000431
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.000066 0.000083 0.000110 0.000155 0.000236 0.000430
2025-04-13 0.000051 0.000064 0.000081 0.000107 0.000152 0.000234 0.000436
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000061 0.000077 0.000103 0.000146 0.000225 0.000422
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000103 0.000149 0.000235 0.000462
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000105 0.000154 0.000251 0.000523
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107 0.000160 0.000267 0.000596
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000112 0.000172 0.000303 0.000761